πThe fascinating table above tells us the story of major stock market crises throughout historyπ
β like an economic thriller spanning almost 200 years! πΊ
Let's dive in and understand what it says β in a simple, engaging way, with some critical conclusions for investors: π¬
What do we see here? π
The table surveys all major stock market crises since 1835, including:
- When they started and ended (Start / End) π
- What was the percentage decline (Decline %) π
- How long it took them to recover to the previous price (in nominal and real terms) π
And finally? A summary of averages that can change the way you look at market declines! β¨
The three types of crises:
The first - S β Structural: π© Crises originating from deep systemic failures β imagine collapsing banks, bursting real estate bubbles, or a global recession. π΄
Example: 1929 or 2008 crisis. Average decline: 57%, average recovery: 134 months (!!) β 11 years! π«
The second C β Cyclical: π¨ Declines that occur as part of a natural economic cycle β temporary recession, change in interest rate policy, etc.
Example: 1987, 1973, 1990. Average decline: 31%. Recovery: 73 months β οΈ
The third β Event-Driven: Crises resulting from a one-time event β wars, pandemics, disasters. β οΈ
Example: Corona (2020), 9/11. Average decline: 27%, average recovery: only 12 months β a quick comeback! πΌ
What are the overall average numbers? Average crisis duration: 25 months. Average decline: 36% π». Average recovery time: 54 months (4 - 5 years). πͺ§
But this is an overall average.. π€
The average recovery from an event-driven crisis is 12 months, meaning only one year π
The current crisis β what's happening now?
The table also includes a new row: February 2025 β April 2025 (1 month) β a decline of only 17%. π
If this truly remains a short "Event-Driven" situation, it could be a good sign for a quick market comeback. π€
What's the big conclusion? π£ Don't panic about crises β they are a natural part of the market, and history shows that all of them, without exception, ended in recovery. π
Time is the most powerful weapon of the patient investor β even the deepest crises, like that of 1929, did not stop the market from eventually rising. π
Examine the type of crisis β if it looks like a one-time event, it might already be behind us; if it's structural β more patience will be required. π€
β¨ One final thought:
The market may fall β but history shows it always recovers. π
The true winners are those who do not succumb to fear. π