Inflation index: expectations and implications for interest rates

Expectations for the Consumer Price Index for July point to a significant decrease in inflation, which could accelerate interest rate cuts as early as next month.

By the SpyStocks desk · · 1 min read

Inflation index expectations (very important for your portfolio) to be released today:

  1. Kalshi: 2.9%
  2. TD: 2.9%
  3. UBS: 2.9%
  4. Goldman Sachs: 2.9%
  5. Citigroup: 3.0%
  6. Morgan stanley: 3.0%
  7. Bank of America: 3.0%
  8. Braclays: 3.0%

Average expectations for the Consumer Price Index for July show core inflation of 3.0% and core index inflation of 3.2%.

If index inflation reaches 2.9% or below, this will be the first month with inflation below 3.0% since March 2021!

Today's Consumer Price Index report may strengthen the case for an interest rate cut in September.

Almost every inflation indicator shows that inflation is trending downwards.

With rising unemployment and recession fears, it's time to cut interest rates.

If the index inflation report goes as planned, we expect interest rates to start falling as early as next month!

In the picture: The man whose words move trillions of dollars, boosting or crashing your portfolio.

For those asking, the index will be released today at 3:30 PM Israel time.

Good intel travels.

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