After this morning's analysis, events continue to unfold... ๐ก
And the real question is, is the emphasis on preparing for attacks after the elections actually a cover for the real attack that will come before themโ
"We are not negotiating. Something will happen, one way or another, quite soon." Trump told reporters on his way back from a rally in South Carolina, adding:
"Most people think it's after the elections."
This morning we asked if what is happening in the region is preparation for war or pressure without war.
Since then, several new findings have emerged, and we checked each one at the source.
Let's start with what points to something serious ๐ฉ ๐ด According to The New York Times (10.22), the US and Israel have prepared detailed plans for a round of attacks after the congressional elections on 11.3.
This involves a short and intense operation, about three days, against nuclear and energy facilities, missiles, and drones.
The White House: "We do not comment on plans that may or may not exist."
๐ด Immediately after that come Trump's words, in a direct quote.
๐ด Iranian claim - the Revolutionary Guard announced that they attacked 4 tankers transferring oil from tanker to tanker in the northern Gulf, and that 3 more ships hit mines.
They also threaten to expand the conflict to American bases.
๐ด In addition, a Houthi drone intercepted near the Shaybah oil field in Saudi Arabia killed two people, and hours later the Dammam airport was hit: 2 dead and 8 injured.
๐ด If we look at oil as a signal, Brent crude rose on 10.22 to about $112 per barrel, about 3.2%.
๐ด The aircraft carrier Roosevelt and a Marine unit are being sent to the region, expected to arrive by the end of November.
๐ด Fresh report from this morning - the Iranians declared a state of emergency and activated full defense mode.
According to reports, local commanders received detailed target lists covering US economic and political assets across the region, which could be attacked if war breaks out.
Contradictory claims ๐ ๐ข Trump himself set the clock after the elections, and according to the Times, he already vetoed several plans to return to fighting this year. ๐ข Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said that indirect talks through Pakistan and Qatar are continuing.
So what has changed since yesterday? Yesterday there was a report by one correspondent about a "preemptive strike." Today there is a report with targets and a timeline, and a president who himself says "after the elections."
The real question is, is the appearance of a date actually a diversion?โโ