ASML not only beat estimates, it also reminded the market who holds the keys to the chip revolution π $ASML π
Headlines focused on ASML's earnings surprise - but those who listened to the investor call heard a much bigger story! π
This is not just another strong quarter, but confirmation that the company continues to strengthen its position as the bottleneck of the global chip industry.
And also - the huge hint from the investor call about Intel's massive success...
Let's start with the results - a clear beat on estimates π
Revenue: β¬9.33 billion - above estimates of approximately β¬8.85 billion. βοΈ
Net income: β¬2.9 billion, with earnings per share of β¬7.59, compared to estimates of approximately β¬6.90. βοΈ
Gross margin: 54%, a figure that illustrates the company continues to benefit from exceptional pricing power. βοΈ
But, not only is the present good - but also the plans for the future! β³
The company raised its revenue guidance for 2026 to a range of β¬43β45 billion, compared to the previous guidance of β¬34β39 billion. π
This is not just a guidance raise - the astute will understand that this is a statement that demand for advanced chip manufacturing equipment continues to be significantly stronger than initial estimates at the beginning of the year! π
The behind-the-scenes news and the big hint about Intel! π₯
One of the biggest risks surrounding ASML was whether High-NA EUV machines - which cost over $350 million per unit - would indeed be viable for commercial production. π
In the investor call - the company confirmed that the system transitioned to commercial production at the first customer, Intel. βοΈ
The implication is much broader than Intel - from the moment the technology was proven, TSMC and Samsung can no longer afford to wait - whoever wants to lead in 2-nanometer and later 1.4-nanometer chip production will need to accelerate the pace of orders. π
But - although this is a significant update for the general market, it is a huge data point for Intel - which is the first to use a device that essentially allows it to achieve unique mass production in the world with a device that enables much larger shipments than the previous one...
The big bet on demand is already beginning:
ASML announced that it is increasing its production target for standard EUV machines by approximately 30% in 2027, and plans a further expansion of approximately 30% in 2028. π
This is a direct response to the enormous capital investments of chip manufacturers, foremost among them TSMC. β
The message here is clear: despite macroeconomic noise, demand for advanced chips continues to grow at a pace that requires significant capacity expansion. β
But the much more important conclusion here is - when all the major players rush to order equipment simultaneously - pricing power remains with ASML. π‘
One of the less-headlined figures was the services segment:
This is a highly profitable activity - which provides the company with a stable revenue source even during periods of geopolitical uncertainty. β’οΈ
If we try to summarize the report in a few words - the market isn't buying machines, it's buying access to the future. π±
This quarter proved that ASML is no longer just an equipment supplier to the chip industry - it has become the gateway to the world's most advanced manufacturing technologies. π
In the chip market, you can perhaps compete in almost anything - except with the one who holds the keys to the factory. π